Oscars 2025 Predictions: Who will take home best picture, best actor, and best actress

As the 2025 Academy Awards approach, the Best Picture race has been notably dynamic. "Anora," directed by Sean Baker, has emerged as a strong contender, especially after securing top honors from the producers, directors, and writers guilds. These accolades often indicate potential success at the Oscars. However, "Conclave," which won Best Film at the BAFTAs and the Screen Actors Guild Awards, presents formidable competition. Despite this, its absence from nominations in directing and cinematography categories raises questions about its overall support within the Academy. Given these factors, "Anora" is currently favored to win Best Picture.​

In the Best Director category, Sean Baker's achievements with "Anora," including a Directors Guild of America award, position him as the frontrunner. Brady Corbet's BAFTA win for "The Brutalist" signifies strong competition, but Baker's consistent recognition throughout the season suggests he may secure the Oscar.​

For Best Actor, Adrien Brody's performance in "The Brutalist" has garnered multiple awards this season. Although Timothée Chalamet received a recent SAG award for "A Complete Unknown," historical trends show the Academy's reluctance to honor younger male actors. This context bolsters Brody's prospects for a second Oscar.​

The Best Actress category is particularly competitive. Demi Moore's roles in "The Substance" have earned her accolades from SAG, Critics Choice, and the Golden Globes. Mikey Madison's performance in "Anora" was recognized at the BAFTAs and Independent Spirit Awards. Fernanda Torres, starring in the Brazilian film "I'm Still Here," is gaining momentum as more Academy members view her work. With the race so close between Moore and Madison, Torres could emerge as a surprise winner.​

In the Best Supporting Actor category, Kieran Culkin's role in "A Real Pain" has led to victories at major awards shows, making him the favorite for the Oscar. Similarly, Zoe Saldaña's performance in "Emilia Pérez" has consistently been honored, positioning her as the frontrunner for Best Supporting Actress.​

In the screenplay categories, "Anora" is expected to win Best Original Screenplay, aligning with its Best Picture momentum. "Conclave" is anticipated to take Best Adapted Screenplay, which could enhance its standing in the Best Picture race.​

Overall, while "Anora" appears poised for significant success, the dynamic nature of this awards season means surprises are still possible.