Fitch ups FY25 GDP growth forecast to 7.2%
Attributes reasons to recovery in consumer spending and increased investment
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New Delhi: Fitch Ratings on Tuesday raised India’s growth forecast for current fiscal to 7.2 per cent, from seven per cent projected in March, citing a recovery in consumer spending and increased investment. For the fiscal years 2025-26 and 2026-27, Fitch projected growth rates of 6.5 per cent and 6.2 per cent, respectively.
“We expect the Indian economy to expand by a strong 7.2 per cent in FY24/25 (an upward revision of 0.2 pp from the March GEO),” Fitch said in its global economic outlook report. Fitch’s estimates are in line with that of RBI, which earlier this month projected Indian economy to expand 7.2 per cent in the current fiscal on the back of improving rural demand and moderating inflation. Investment will continue to rise, but more slowly than in recent quarters, while consumer spending will recover with elevated consumer confidence, it said.
Fitch said purchasing managers survey data point to continued growth at the start of the current financial year. It said signs of the coming monsoon season being more normal should support growth and make inflation less volatile, though a recent heatwave poses a risk. “We expect growth in later years to slow and approach our medium-term trend estimate,” it said, adding growth will be driven by consumer spending and investment.
